Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.007345 0.008221 0.009177 0.010302 0.011593 0.013032 0.014763
2025-05-18 0.005883 0.007051 0.008434 0.010204 0.012427 0.015149 0.018772
2025-05-25 0.005157 0.006466 0.008101 0.010317 0.013283 0.017166 0.022728
2025-06-01 0.004570 0.005935 0.007713 0.010237 0.013789 0.018706 0.026196
2025-06-08 0.004023 0.005374 0.007194 0.009878 0.013819 0.019531 0.028706
2025-06-15 0.003702 0.005074 0.006984 0.009900 0.014355 0.021110 0.032530
2025-06-22 0.003534 0.004967 0.007022 0.010269 0.015432 0.023614 0.038190
2025-06-29 0.003238 0.004641 0.006705 0.010057 0.015562 0.024613 0.041458
2025-07-06 0.002980 0.004349 0.006407 0.009837 0.015639 0.025511 0.044662
2025-07-13 0.002802 0.004163 0.006253 0.009826 0.016053 0.027023 0.049225
2025-07-20 0.002703 0.004088 0.006266 0.010086 0.016955 0.029508 0.056090
2025-07-27 0.002542 0.003903 0.006082 0.009990 0.017205 0.030807 0.060758
2025-08-03 0.002412 0.003766 0.005977 0.010041 0.017768 0.032858 0.067599
2025-08-10 0.002264 0.003588 0.005792 0.009933 0.018024 0.034353 0.073565
2025-08-17 0.002168 0.003489 0.005731 0.010044 0.018716 0.036838 0.082380
2025-08-24 0.002050 0.003344 0.005579 0.009966 0.019012 0.038518 0.089589
2025-08-31 0.001904 0.003139 0.005302 0.009618 0.018707 0.038813 0.093289
2025-09-07 0.001822 0.003043 0.005216 0.009639 0.019186 0.040974 0.102517
2025-09-14 0.001792 0.003037 0.005295 0.009998 0.020447 0.045183 0.118630
2025-09-21 0.001692 0.002896 0.005109 0.009792 0.020412 0.046208 0.125578
2025-09-28 0.001598 0.002762 0.004927 0.009579 0.020332 0.047110 0.132394
2025-10-05 0.001535 0.002682 0.004844 0.009568 0.020732 0.049325 0.144082
2025-10-12 0.001506 0.002663 0.004879 0.009820 0.021798 0.053518 0.163765